The study of history is a search for causes. Yet causality may not itself be a feature of the world as much as it is a result of the way the human brain encodes and structures experience. Brain states are stable within short temporal windows, but are necessarily transient and eventually result in persistent (but not necessarily permanent) modifications of the circuitry. We thus may attribute an erroneous degree of predictability to history when we try to isolate individual causal relationships between two events.
DOI: doi.org/10.5282/rcc/6165